Izmail Danube Grain Terminal (July 2023 Drone Strike)

Ізмаїльський зерновий термінал на Дунаї (атака дронів, липень 2023)

⚠ Re-damaged 2 time(s) — material investor-information field
Industrial and Agricultural agricultural.grain_terminal Assessed Rebuildable

Location

OblastOdesa
SettlementIzmail
AddressIzmail Danube grain terminal, Izmail, Odesa Oblast
Coordinates45.3447°N, 28.8459°E

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Damage Record

Incident date2023-07-26
Incident typedrone strike
Destruction levelModerate (30–55%)
Re-damage count2 ⚠ Material investor-information field
Verified byPRESS, UA_GOV, UN_OCHA

Evidence sources

Wartime Status

Lifecycle stageAssessed
RebuildabilityRebuildable
Sovereign risk bandelevated
De-risking instrumentsMIGA War & Civil Disturbance Insurance; EU Facility First-Loss Guarantee

Physical Specifications

storage capacity tonnes 150,000 tonnes extracted from source

Reconstruction Cost Estimates

Cost figures are estimates derived from published unit-cost benchmarks (RDNA4, KSE Institute) and named comparable Ukrainian precedents. Not guarantees, not procurement quotes. All amounts in USD millions.

Baseline

Repair to pre-war condition

USD 7.5M – USD 38.7M
Central: USD 23.6M

Code-compliant

Rebuild to current EU/UA building codes

USD 8.5M – USD 49.1M
Central: USD 28.3M

Build-back-better

Rebuild with technology overlays

USD 9.4M – USD 62.3M
Central: USD 35.8M
Technology overlays: automated handlingdust suppressionsmart logistics

Financing Structures

Twelve-tranche capital stack derived from sector × path templates (RDNA4, EU Facility, EBRD). All tranches sum to 100%.

Baseline

5%15%20%15%10%5%30%
Show full capital stack
Tranche%
Grant (Pillar I)—
ERA / Frozen Assets—
First-loss / Guarantee5%
Concessional IFI Debt15%
Senior IFI (near-mkt)20%
ECA-Covered Debt15%
DFI Equity / Quasi-eq.10%
Public / Municipal Eq.—
Diaspora / Patriotic Bd—
Commercial Bank Debt5%
Institutional Debt—
Private Equity / Infra30%

Political risk insurance (required): MIGA War & Civil Disturbance

INDUSTRIAL_BASELINE

Code-compliant

5%15%20%15%10%5%5%25%
Show full capital stack
Tranche%
Grant (Pillar I)—
ERA / Frozen Assets—
First-loss / Guarantee5%
Concessional IFI Debt15%
Senior IFI (near-mkt)20%
ECA-Covered Debt15%
DFI Equity / Quasi-eq.10%
Public / Municipal Eq.—
Diaspora / Patriotic Bd—
Commercial Bank Debt5%
Institutional Debt5%
Private Equity / Infra25%

Political risk insurance (required): MIGA War & Civil Disturbance

INDUSTRIAL_CODE_COMPLIANT

Build-back-better

5%15%20%15%10%5%10%20%

Danube corridor grain terminal; strategically important for Black Sea Grain Initiative alternative routing; MIGA war-risk wrap essential for any commercial financing; private operator equity dominant; re-damage risk (2 events) priced into MIGA premium

Show full capital stack
Tranche%
Grant (Pillar I)—
ERA / Frozen Assets—
First-loss / Guarantee5%
Concessional IFI Debt15%
Senior IFI (near-mkt)20%
ECA-Covered Debt15%
DFI Equity / Quasi-eq.10%
Public / Municipal Eq.—
Diaspora / Patriotic Bd—
Commercial Bank Debt5%
Institutional Debt10%
Private Equity / Infra20%

Political risk insurance (required): MIGA War & Civil Disturbance

INDUSTRIAL_BBB

Record Metadata

Asset IDIZMAIL_GRAIN_TERMINAL_2023_07_26
Last reviewed2026-10-22
Schema version1.0.0
Tagsagricultural, grain_terminal, odesa_oblast, danube, drone_strike, re_damaged, food_security

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